Toronto city councillor and mayoral candidate Brad Bradford has promised to hire 1,000 new police officers if elected, arguing that the city’s existing five-year hiring plan cannot keep pace with population growth. The pledge, announced outside Toronto Police headquarters, has drawn immediate scrutiny — both over its price tag and its practical feasibility.
The Proposal and Its Gaps
Bradford, who represents Beaches-East York, framed his pitch around a per-capita comparison with other major cities. “When you measure ourselves up against Canadian peer cities or international cities abroad, Toronto is still coming up short,” he said. The argument carries some intuitive force, but Bradford declined repeated questions from reporters about how the plan would be financed, saying only that cost figures would come “later in the campaign.”
That silence on funding is not a minor detail.
Councillor Shelley Carroll, who chairs both the Budget Committee and the Toronto Police Service Board, offered a blunt estimate when pressed by Global News: “Way more than tens of millions. At that point you’re talking well over $100 million.” Carroll also sits on the board that oversees the police service, giving her estimate particular weight.
Capacity Constraints the Plan Doesn’t Address
Mayor Olivia Chow and Carroll both identified a structural obstacle Bradford’s announcement left unaddressed: Ontario’s police college can only graduate a fixed number of recruits each year. Toronto’s current hiring plan is already pushing against that ceiling.
“It’s the maximum number of officers you can possibly train and graduate, which is 360, and that is our plan,” Chow said.
The mayor’s office added that 720 new officers have already been hired over the past two years under the existing plan. If the city sustains maximum enrolment for the remaining three years of the plan, it would bring in 1,800 officers in total — with roughly 502 representing net new positions after accounting for attrition.
Toronto Police Chief Myron Demkiw, speaking to the Police Services Board on Thursday, noted that major crime indicators — including shootings and homicides — are trending downward in 2026. He nonetheless cautioned that public confidence in safety can erode quickly. “It only takes one shooting to undermine the community sense of safety,” he said.
What the Research Says
Beyond the logistics and the dollars, researchers raise a more fundamental question about whether hiring more officers reliably reduces crime. Melanie Seabrook of the University of Toronto, who has co-authored studies on the subject, said the evidence is, at best, mixed.
“There’s a lot stronger evidence around investing in other sectors, such as housing, public health, mental health, support sectors that are able to prevent crime in the long run,” Seabrook said.
That body of research does not settle the political debate — public safety remains a legitimate and pressing concern for Torontonians — but it does complicate any straightforward equation between officer headcount and community wellbeing. As the mayoral race develops, voters will need to weigh Bradford’s pledge against both its unspecified cost and the evidence on what actually makes cities safer.
